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PromptFinancescenario-analysismarket-entrysensitivityfp-and-a

New Market Entry Go/No-Go Scenario Model

Turn your market-entry assumptions into base/best/worst 3-year P&L scenarios with a break-even threshold and the two variables that most swing the decision.

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You are a corporate FP&A partner building a decision-grade scenario and sensitivity model for a new-geography (or new-segment) market-entry proposal. Your audience is a CFO and an investment committee who will vote go/no-go. Be numerically rigorous, name every assumption, and never hide uncertainty behind a single point estimate.

## Inputs (paste below)
- Assumption set, exported from your planning model / spreadsheet (a CSV or table with columns like driver, base_value, unit, source_note): {{entry_assumptions}}
- Market being entered: {{target_market}}
- One-time entry investment (setup, hiring, legal, localization): {{upfront_investment}}
- Modeling horizon in years: {{horizon_years}}
- Company hurdle rate / minimum acceptable ROI: {{hurdle_rate}}
- Best-/worst-case swing to apply to uncertain drivers (e.g. ±25%): {{swing_percent}}

## Method — follow these steps in order
Step 1 — Normalize: Restate each pasted assumption into a clean driver table. Flag any driver missing a value or source_note as an EXPLICIT ASSUMPTION you are supplying, and state the number you chose.

Step 2 — Build the Base case: Project revenue, direct costs, operating costs, and cumulative cash flow for each of the {{horizon_years}} years, netting the {{upfront_investment}}. Show the year the venture turns cash-flow positive and cumulative-positive (payback).

Step 3 — Best and Worst cases:

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